Friday Betting

 

 

We begin on this Friday after the midweek of European action. If you had not caught the second round of the Capital one League Cup, the second round commences the last week of August. The draw is thus:

Courtesy of bbc.co.uk/sport

Full fixture list (ties to be played in the week commencing 26 August):

Carlisle v Leicester

Doncaster v Leeds

Nottingham Forest v Millwall

Sunderland v MK Dons

West Brom v Newport

Bristol City v Crystal Palace

Peterborough v Reading

Barnsley v Southampton

Burton v Fulham

Burnley v Preston

Liverpool v Notts County

Norwich v Bury

Leyton Orient v Hull

Everton v Stevenage

Stoke v Walsall

Huddersfield v Charlton

Aston Villa v Rotherham

Tranmere v Bolton

Morecambe v Newcastle

QPR v Swindon

Derby v Brentford

Watford v Bournemouth

Yeovil v Birmingham

Accrington v Cardiff

West Ham v Cheltenham

Full fixture list (ties to be played in the week commencing 26 August):

Carlisle v Leicester

Doncaster v Leeds

Nottingham Forest v Millwall

Sunderland v MK Dons

West Brom v Newport

Bristol City v Crystal Palace

Peterborough v Reading

Barnsley v Southampton

Burton v Fulham

Burnley v Preston

Liverpool v Notts County

Norwich v Bury

Leyton Orient v Hull

Everton v Stevenage

Stoke v Walsall

Huddersfield v Charlton

Aston Villa v Rotherham

Tranmere v Bolton

Morecambe v Newcastle

QPR v Swindon

Derby v Brentford

Watford v Bournemouth

Yeovil v Birmingham

Accrington v Cardiff

West Ham v Cheltenham

 

With the Capital one cup above, we head into Fridays action. We kick off in Germany where Bayern Munich kick off their season after accumulating 21 clean sheets last term and will aim to get off to a winning start. Bayern’s game is best 8/11 for both teams not to score, but at home, we expect the disciplined side to keep a clean sheet and win to nil. The 2/13 outright is a near certainty, but Ladbrokes go 9/10 Bayern win to nil, with the same outcome just 4/7 elsewhere. This is our lock up single of the day.

We must apologies for the faux pas with the Gasquet bet in Thursdays column. Those that missed out, we will include Gasquet again for those missing out and will back Wigan at home in the super league to double up for a 13/10 return at Coral.

 

Recommendations:

• Bayern Munich to win to nil  – 9/10 Ladbrokes
• Gasquet (Tennis) and Wigan (Rugby League) pays 2.30 at Coral

 

 

Barcelona Vs Bayern Munich preview & tips

Who would have ever predicted Barcelona leaving Munich without scoring, but still carrying a near impossible task, if they want to make the final against confirmed finalist Borrusia Dortmund

 

Best match odds:

 

• Barcelona – 17/20 Ladbrokes
• Draw – 7/2 Bwin
• Munich – 10/3 Betfred

Although Bayern are BIG at 10/3, with their substantial lead in the tie, must be a reason to oppose them! I imagine bookies are rushing to lay off liabilities taken on a Spanish Champions League double. With one leg down, bookies can lay off the rest.

Opta facts – supplied by optasports.com

 

• No team has ever overturned a 4-0 deficit after the first leg of a Champions League knockout game.
• Barcelona’s 4-0 defeat in Munich in the first-leg was their heaviest in a Champions League game since their defeat by the same scoreline against Dinamo Kiev back in November 1997.
• If Bayern Munich qualify, it will be the third time they have reached the final of the Champions League in the last four seasons. They were beaten finalists in each of their last two appearances (v Inter Milan in 2010 and Chelsea in 2012).
• Barcelona have only won one of their seven competitive encounters with Bayern Munich (two draws, four defeats).
• Barcelona have won only one of their last six Champions League games (three draws, two defeats).
• Worse, they have won only one of their last seven knockout games in the competition (4-0 v AC Milan in this season’s last 16), drawing three and losing three.
• Barcelona are unbeaten in their last 21 Champions League games at Camp Nou (16 wins, five draws), their last defeat dating back to October 2009 against Rubin Kazan (1-2).
• Barcelona’s last three home games in the CL knockout stages against German sides have all seen the Catalans win by at least four clear goals: 4-0 v Bayern Munich in April 2009, 4-0 v Vfb Stuttgart in March 2010 and 7-1 v Bayer Leverkusen in March 2012.
• Bayern Munich have scored more goals than any other side in the Champions League this season (26).
• Bayern Munich have won their last three Champions League games without conceding a single goal, the best current run in the competition.
• Arsenal’s Laurent Koscielny is the last player to score against Bayern Munich in the Champions League, it was 275 minutes ago.
• Thomas Müller has been directly involved in 54.5% of Bayern Munich’s goals in the knockout stages of the Champions League this season, six out of 11 (four goals and two assists).
• Since 2008/09, Lionel Messi has scored 51 goals in the Champions League, which is 37 more than any other Barcelona player over that period (Pedro, 14 goals).

 

What do we expect from the game:

 

We expect Barcelona to win by 1-2 goals, and Barcelona to win by two or more can be taken at 5/2 with Stan James. We expect the mighty Spanish to reign supreme on the night, but do not think, even their might can overturn the German lead.

 

Recommended betting:

• Barcelona – 17/20 Ladbrokes
• Half time draw – 17/10 Bwin
• Thomas Muller to score – 3/1 888sport